The way things are shaping up the closer we get to draft day, Noel will most likely not be the #1 pick by Cleveland if they happen to keep the pick. Orlando may take Burke or McLemore depending who goes #1.
How far can Noel possibly slide?
Won't fall past #5 because this draft is too weak and his high risk/reward potential is very intriguing.
I'm going to say no further than the Kings because I would love for him to be a King
I'd say 6 at the absolute lowest. I don't think NO would pass on the "potential" of having that long and athletic of a front court.
I may be wrong but I can see a Geno Smith type of day for him, to where he may fall around 10-15 range.
IMO he won't fall out of the lottery, but I have him going 11th to Philly in my mock. They're desperate for a starting center after the Bynum experiment failed and though Noel is an injury risk too with his potential he'd be an upgrade over Spencer Hawes. Maybe he goes 10th to the Blazers but you know their history with injury prone big men lol, I could definitely see him fall to the Sixers at #11. If he does they have to take him, way too much potential at a position of need for Philadelphia.
Past number 2. He's the best big man in the draft and has the most potential.
I think teams will definitely select Len before they will select Noel at this point. Zeller could move up ahead of him as well depending how the team drafting views him and how they see him developing (mobile shooting big, or post big). With that being said any team with a need for shot blocking or a big with those two off the board will likely scoop him although I doubt he slips past Minnesota. If healthy Noel projects to be a perfect contrast to Loves game. Minnesota has always seemed to be a team to never ever pass up talent as seen with acquiring Beasley, gambling with injury prone Roy and Kirelinko, drafting Johnny Flynn and Rubio, drafting Williams ahead of positional need Kanter, and always searching for young talented players they can get at a cheap price.
i had him no way slipping past #3. until i seen that pic of him bench pressing someone posted last week. his knee looked BAD. really bad. I"d be scared to draft him for that alone. w/o the injury i think he is a no-brainer #1 unless you really needed a guard. His raw offensive game doesnt bother me as much as it does others because i think he will eventually develop. He's going to be a greatim protector
That Knee, man, that Knee. It just looks terrible. How can you draft that? I love the stats and what he has done so far in his young career. But that Knee is terrible. I could see everyone passing on him. Or I could see him going number one. It just comes back to someone thinking he will come back 100 percent and also not be a future injury risk. If you don't believe that, then he becomes nearly undraftable in the first round.
I don't know if you guys follow the NFL Draft but this reminds me Da'Quan Bowers a bit. Obviously a different sport wit different circstances but Bowers was at one point the #1 prospect and was supposed to be a top 5/10 pick until a few weeks before the draft. Teams found out he had a degenerative knee condition and his stock plummeted into the 2nd round. I don't know how serious Nerlens' knee condition is, but I wouldn't be surprised if his stock took a big hit.
As a massive Clemson fan it hurts so much to read this.
I wouldn't take the risk on Noel. Everyone knows about his knee problems, and one of his weaknesses as a player is his lack of bulk/strength. There are some scientific studies that state one pound of weight is equal to 4 lbs of stress on the knees. He weighed in at 206 lbs. I'd assume, he needs to atleast get to 225lbs-230lbs. For that huge of a risk, the reward isn't that great in my opinion. A healthy Nerlens is a player who will block shots and play great defense, but will probably never find his way offensively and score most of his baskets off of dunks.